Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 6.674131 7.367399 8.137275 9.062552 10.153773 11.411709 12.989262
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.513535 6.404637 7.475753 8.883756 10.726618 13.119115 16.573848
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.900591 5.880289 7.120198 8.852945 11.297836 14.775739 20.424238
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.405765 5.407977 6.723771 8.647234 11.521936 15.923313 23.832262
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.079831 5.105919 6.496453 8.612032 11.945154 17.420600 28.326515
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.810674 4.846460 6.288006 8.557773 12.304706 18.872150 33.340074
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.664610 4.739462 6.277857 8.791174 13.160150 21.412213 41.996619
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.409897 4.454061 5.973760 8.512933 13.071456 22.108052 46.662834
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.180269 4.187805 5.674411 8.204935 12.873045 22.522240 50.860014
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.003976 3.987953 5.460053 8.014067 12.860582 23.335841 56.897041
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.882756 3.862032 5.350144 7.988625 13.162445 24.957539 67.149277
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.884010 3.920702 5.536432 8.505681 14.660638 30.078273 98.393612
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.799447 3.850953 5.523867 8.691016 15.575660 34.348500 137.914391
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.655376 3.680348 5.332725 8.522139 15.678076 36.375040 171.815969
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.549078 3.562711 5.221126 8.493162 16.107838 39.744728 234.497174
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.426595 3.411199 5.038741 8.299714 16.089785 41.572380 296.344043
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.339361 3.312066 4.940476 8.266596 16.480940 45.271157 431.231838
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.256727 3.215655 4.839573 8.215543 16.815890 49.048454 657.503165
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.217986 3.189956 4.863747 8.435088 17.969256 57.708405 1619.217213
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.118113 3.055654 4.679123 8.173345 17.651535 58.676602 2357.220682
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.021222 2.922409 4.489273 7.883316 17.199304 58.689791 3270.635382
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.944616 2.820768 4.353098 7.703427 17.060645 60.557775 6346.881977
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.892248 2.758554 4.287523 7.679439 17.416337 65.952621 47378.388394